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August 30, 2016

Georgia Projected Kickoff Times

Here is my best guess on game times and TV.

Times and networks in bold are confirmed.
9/3/16UNC5:30ESPN Tickets
9/10/16Nicholls StNoonSECN Tickets
9/17/16at Missouri7:30pmSECN Tickets
9/24/16at Ole Miss7:00pm ESPN  Tickets
10/1/16Tennessee3:30 pm CBS Tickets
10/8/16at South CarolinaNoon ESPN2 Tickets
10/15/16Vandy4:30pm SECN Tickets
10/29/16Florida3:30pmCBS Tickets
11/5/16at KentuckyNoonESPN2 Tickets
11/12/16AuburnNoonCBS  Tickets
11/19/16UL-L7:00pm ESPN2/U  Tickets
11/26/16Tech4pmSECN  Tickets
  • CBS still has their doubleheader weekends. Those weekends are scheduled November 5th for the 3:30/8pm weekend and November 12th for the noon/3:30. 
  • That means you can write down Alabama at LSU on Nov 5th for 8pm in unicorn blood.
  • The closest thing I can have to a lock is the noon kickoff for Auburn. I could see us playing on ESPN at Noon, but that is a tough weekend unless both Georgia and Auburn are good enough to jump LSU vs. Arkansas for the CBS 3:30 game.
  • Kentucky could be anytime. I am honestly 50/50 it being the 4:30 SECN game.
  • So there are my predictions. Kickoff times during the season are announced 12 days ahead of time (usually Monday around noon Eastern), unless the TV partners go to a six day window, which they can do twice. The weekend of Oct 10th is likely to be at least one of those 6 day window weekends. 

August 29, 2016

It's Gameweek!

Yeah, baby!

Ok, a couple of things:

  • Can we, for at least one week, stop with the hand wringing over 'how many games does Kirby have to win' to have a successful season? 
    • If you believe that Mark Richt didn't win enough, then no matter how many games Kirby wins, unless he wins them all for ever, it won't be enough. 
    • If you believe Mark Richt should have been fired because 'he can't win the big one,' then unless we only lose on last second touchdowns to the national champion, you won't be happy. 
    • If you believe Mark Richt shouldn't have been fired because he won plenty of games and we did things the right way, you aren't going to be happy because Kirby Smart isn't Mark Richt.
  • My point is, as natural as it is to compare 2016 UGA to Mark Richt's tenure, it isn't Mark Richt's tenure. Kirby Smart will rise and fall on whatever metrics the AD and those that have his ear set. 
  • It doesn't matter how terrible the SEC East is, if we aren't outpacing the other teams at stuff, we are part of the problem, not the solution.
  • Either Jacob Eason starts or he doesn't. Again with the hand wringing. Either he gives Georgia the best shot to win, as decided by the professional coaches who are at practice every day, or he doesn't. If he does, he starts.
  • Same goes for Nick Chubb, [FILL IN THE BLANK] at receiver, place kicker, and offensive line.
  • Give up on whatever SEC vs. the world narrative there is. The only SEC team I want to win Saturday is Georgia.
Ok, let's celebrate, y'all. Our long walk through the off season wilderness is nearly done.

August 27, 2016

Eason to start?

Lot's of reports that he's been working with the ones and will start. Still think Kirby won't officially say, but I'd guess with it being widely reported, Eason will be listed as the starter when the game notes are released.

August 26, 2016

Watin' Since Last Saturday Pick'em 2016

Now is the time to get in. We have South Carolina vs. Vandy, so that is Thursday night.

Go forth and embarrass Will, Scott, and I.

August 25, 2016

Waitin' Since Last Saturday, Ep. 45

The big Georgia preview, where we forget if Julian Rochester Jonathan Lebetter (ed note: don't post after chasing kids at football practice for two hours) is suspended or not (he is), remember that Tim Beckman is coaching for UNC (but isn't any more), and do a losses draft on Georgia's season.

Rate and review us at Soundcloud and iTunes, please. It'll help Scott's feelings.

August 22, 2016

Dear Kirby...

In light of this, can I point you in the direction of this:
(courtesy of Advanced Football Analytics)
As Bill Connelly puts it 
Points Per Trip inside 40
("Scoring Opportunities")
% of 2013 gamesWin%Avg. Scoring margin
5.5 to 7 points18.6%72.8%15.1
5 to 5.5 points13.2%68.4%11.9
4.5 to 5 points13.3%62.6%7.4
4 to 4.5 points13.7%51.8%1.7
3.5 to 4 points8.5%50.4%-3.9
3 to 3.5 points12.5%38.5%-7.6
2 to 3 points12.1%23.1%-14.1
1 to 2 points5.0%4.9%-25.8
0 to 1 points3.0%0.0%-36.0
One other thing about this table: field goals are basically failures. They are obviously useful at times in close games, but settling for field goals is a losing strategy as a whole. Even with a good kicker, averaging three points per scoring opportunity will win you about one-third of your games. (Keep this in mind the next time your team kicks an 18-yard field goal.)
I get you need to have a serviceable kicking option for many situations. I'd posit that those situations don't include 4th and less than four from inside the 35. Of course, your mileage may vary, but I'm also not going to incur the wrath of the Dawgvent if it doesn't work out that one time.

August 19, 2016

Waitin' Since Last Saturday Ep. 44 - SEC preview

We boldly go where everyone else has, but with one third more thunder. No literally, there is actual thunder.

August 18, 2016

Friends don't let friends hang out with Florida Gators


And Lochte is already back in the states, while his pals are in a Rio police station. Good times.

August 17, 2016

Because...Go Damn Dawgs

A little love from the UK for University of Georgia success at the Summer Olympic Games in Rio.

UGA Medalist (to date):

University of Georgia Medalists 

Shaunae Miller
  • Gold: women's 400m sprint
Allison Schmitt
  • Gold: women's 4x200m freestyle relay
  • Silver: women's 4x100 freestyle relay
Melanie Margalis
  • Gold: women's 4x200 freestyle relay 
Brittany MacLean
  • Bronze: women's 4x200 freestyle relay
Gunnar Bentz
  • Gold: men's 4x200m freestyle relay
Chase Kalisz
  • Silver: men's 400m individual medley
Amanda Weir
  • Silver: women's 4x100 freestyle relay 
Chantal Van Landeghem
  • Bronze: women's 4x100 freestyle relay 
Olivia Smoliga 
  • Gold: women's 4x100 medley relay 

August 16, 2016

Ugly is ugly

You want a take down of UF from a UF guy? I'll leave this here.

And this is why he's worked up, as all of us should be:
It's no secret that I went to Florida. It's also no secret that I was once a walk-on tackling dummy for Florida's football team. Perhaps because of a little experience inside a major college football program and a lot of experience covering major college football programs, I've never been a "not at my school" person. Large state universities are multi-billion dollar operations with thousands of students and thousands of employees. They're all bound to get caught up in something unsavory. Every Florida graduate who turned up a nose at the way Florida State handled Jameis Winston's case should understand that after last week.
Your school probably isn't any better than any other school when it comes to handling these matters. My alma mater proved once again last week that it certainly isn't.

August 11, 2016

Waitn' Since Last Saturday Podcast

We are back. We (wrongly) speculate about Tim Kimbrough. We miss the Maurice Smith transfer happening. We discuss Illinois football.

In other words, good off season, y'all.

Jerry Palm likes UGA

So much for Tennessee for SEC Champion....

Championship BowlJan. 9Tampa, Fla.Semifinal winnersTBD
Fiesta BowlDec. 31Glendale, Ariz.SemifinalOklahoma vs. Notre Dame
Peach BowlDec. 31Atlanta, Ga.SemifinalClemson vs. Alabama
Nothing too out of line there. Seems like safe picks, right? Then he drops the rest of the Selection Committee Bowl games:

Sugar BowlJan. 2New Orleans, La.Big 12 vs SECOkla. State vs. LSU
Rose BowlJan. 2Pasadena, Calif.Big Ten vs Pac-12Ohio State vs. Stanford
Cotton BowlJan. 2Arlington, Tex.At-large vs. At-largeIowa vs. Houston
Orange BowlDec. 30Miami, Fla.ACC vs. Big Ten/SEC/NDFlorida State vs. Georgia
That's right, he's got Georgia in Miami. If this comes true, wait for Georgia fans freak about how this is another crappy Florida bowl game.

Don't worry UT friends, Palm has you playing on New Years Day in Orlando:

Outback BowlJan. 2Tampa, Fla.Big Ten vs. SECMichigan vs. Ole Miss
TaxSlayer BowlDec. 31Jacksonville, Fla.ACC/Big Ten vs. SECNorth Carolina vs. Florida
Citrus BowlDec. 31Orlando, Fla.ACC/Big Ten vs. SECMichigan State vs. Tennessee
Liberty BowlDec. 30Memphis, Tenn.Big 12 vs. SECWest Virginia vs. Kentucky

Belk BowlDec. 29Charlotte, N.C.ACC vs. SECVirginia Tech vs. Texas A&M

Texas BowlDec. 28Houston, Tex.Big 12 vs. SECTexas vs. Arkansas

August 10, 2016

Blutarsky on Smart's Defense

Go read this. It is as thorough dive into what Kirby Smart's defense will be and how he will approach the philosophy of defense, as opposed to the formation or on field stuff. He also gets into his approach to day to day coaching.

The one thing I'll add, and that we are seeing in recruiting, is the focus on finding the atheletes to successfully run that philosophy. Because no matter how good your philosophy is (think Mike Leach's offensive view), if you don't have guys to execute it, you are still just an average coach.


August 9, 2016

OOC Hoops Schedule Announced

Georgia announced the OOC Men's Basketball schedule today.

The highlights are the road trip to Clemson on November 11th and hosting Texas in the SEC-Big 12 Challenge on ESPN at 4pm on January 28th.

We catch Tech in Atlanta this year and play in that CBE Hall of Fame Classic where we'll face George Washington and either Kansas or UAB in Kansas City.

Overall, this is the kind of schedule that can get you some NCAA pub, as long as you don't blow a random game in Chattanooga due to free throw shooting.


August 4, 2016

Interesting Over Unders for win totals

Courtesy of Bovada. The first that jumps is Tennessee at ten and LSU at 10.5. The Dawgs at 9.5 feels high, too. I agree with Blutarsky that much of that is due to the uncertainty of depth, which is important. The rest is that of the players dealing with an nearly full turnover of the coaching staff and the lost coaching time of having to get everyone on the same page.

I'm not prepared to say Georgia won't win ten regular season games, but I'm not prepared to way they will win more than nine, either.

2016 Regular Season Wins - Alabama Crimson Tide        
Over                                         9½  (-280, 5/14)
Under                                       9½ (+180, 9/5)

2016 Regular Season Wins - Florida Gators          
Over                                         8  (-225, 4/9)
Under                                       8 (+160, 8/5)

2016 Regular Season Wins - Georgia Bulldogs    
Over                                         9½  (+120, 6/5)
Under                                       9½   (-160, 5/8)

2016 Regular Season Wins - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets             
Over                                         6½  (-140, 5/7)
Under                                       6½ (EVEN, 1/1)

2016 Regular Season Wins - LSU Tigers  
Over                                         10½  (EVEN, 1/1)
Under                                       10½  (-140, 5/7)

2016 Regular Season Wins - Miami Hurricanes  
Over                                         8  (-130, 13/10)
Under                                       8 (EVEN, 1/1)

2016 Regular Season Wins - Mississippi Rebels 
Over                                         9½   (-140, 5/7)
Under                                       9½  (+110, 11/10)

2016 Regular Season Wins - Mississippi State Bulldogs 
Over                                         9½  (+150, 3/2)
Under                                       9½   (-200, 1/2)

2016 Regular Season Wins - North Carolina Tar Heels    
Over                                         9  (-140, 5/7)
Under                                       9  (EVEN, 1/1)

2016 Regular Season Wins - South Carolina Gamecocks
Over                                         6½  (+200, 2/1)
Under                                       6½   (-300, 1/3)

2016 Regular Season Wins – Tennessee Volunteers
Over                                         10 (+120, 6/5)
Under                                       10  (-160, 5/8)

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